(The Epoch Times)—The Pentagon needs to relocate the manufacturing of all critical components to the United States. That’s what Secretary of War Pete Hegseth said in a Sept. 30 speech in Quantico, Virginia.
“The moment requires restoring and refocusing our defense industrial base, our shipbuilding industry, and onshoring all critical components,” said Hegseth.
Rebuilding what Hegseth calls the “arsenal of freedom” comes hand-in-hand with ensuring the United States’ industrial base is no longer reliant on China, other hostile actors, and vulnerable supply chains.
‘Deterrence Fails When Delivery Slips’
“Deterrence fails when delivery slips,” Steve Aberle, CEO of Rohirrim, a Washington-based company that makes procurement software for the aerospace and defense industry, told The Epoch Times. “What we intend to do is make delivery the default for America and its allies.”
“War starts when gaps appear, so we close those gaps via acquisition before they matter, so no adversary should wake up to an advantage,” Aberle said.
The present situation has come as a direct result of the rise of Chinese manufacturing, which saw its global share grow from 9 percent to 23 percent between 2004 and 2023. Meanwhile, fewer and fewer products are made in the United States.
A case in point would be Magnequench, a company founded by General Motors (GM) in 1986 to manufacture neodymium-iron-boron magnets used in precision-guided munitions, mainly for the Pentagon.
In 1995, GM sold Magnequench for $56 million to a consortium backed by Chinese investors, who later closed down two magnet manufacturing plants in Indiana.
As a result, “America now cannot build a single guided missile without permission from Beijing,” Michael Dunne wrote in a June 2025 report in The Dunne Insights Newsletter. “America’s defense industrial base had been hollowed out for $56 million: the cost of a single F-35 fighter jet.”
On Feb. 24, 2021, President Joe Biden signed Executive Order 14017, which ordered the Department of Defense and other branches of government to review critical supply chains.
Biden said at the time, “The United States needs resilient, diverse, and secure supply chains to ensure our economic prosperity and national security.”
The Manufacturing Capability Expansion & Investment Prioritization (MCEIP) program, which seeks to address “vulnerabilities” in the supply chain of the U.S. industrial base, was launched, and in April 2023, it awarded contracts to “strengthen supply chains for hypersonic and strategic systems.”
In February 2024, the U.S. Department of Defense handed out seven contracts worth $192.5 million to restore manufacturing of certain critical chemicals within the United States.
As a result, hundreds of new jobs are being created in Colorado, Louisiana, Ohio, Oregon, and California.
For example, METSS Corporation—based in Westerville, Ohio—was given a $14 million contract to produce various chemicals, including potassium sulfate, which is used as a muzzle flash suppressant in artillery and firearms.
“Our objective is simple: transform the entire acquisition system to operate on a wartime footing,” Hegseth said in a speech on Nov. 7, “To rapidly accelerate the fielding of capabilities and focus on results, our objective is to build, rebuild the arsenal of freedom.”
Acquisition Transformation Strategy
He also unveiled a new acquisition transformation strategy, which will put the industrial base on a wartime footing and “transition from a culture of compliance to one of speed and execution.”
Hegseth’s speeches do not “come out of nowhere,” said Aberle, who said reforming the acquisition strategy had been a key priority of the incoming Trump administration.
Aberle said the importance of correctly sourcing technology, weapons, and services had been clear from the moment Trump returned to the White House for his second term in January.
“Even on the first day there was White House guidance on how each individual agency should approach acquisition,” Aberle said.
On Jan. 23, Trump said he wanted the United States to have a “level playing field” with China on trade.
Beijing had gained its trade advantages by not playing fair with the West, Iain Duncan Smith, a British member of Parliament and former leader of the Conservative Party, told The Epoch Times.
“China has disobeyed every World Trade Organization rule on fair trade,” Duncan Smith said, and pointed out they had deliberately chosen not to become a full member of the WTO, which meant they had been given the status of a “developing country.”
In September, Chinese leader Xi Jinping announced Beijing would no longer seek the special treatment accorded to developing countries.
Bending WTO Rules
Duncan Smith said China had been allowed to “bend the rules” and that had led to them becoming dominant in a whole series of markets.
“They trash the WTO rules about free markets, they subsidize huge amounts of money into businesses that they think might not succeed. … China has broken the investment rules, it’s broken slave labor rules, and they’re using forced labor,” Duncan Smith said.
He said that as a result, they produce a huge range of products much cheaper than the West, driving competitors in the United States and Europe out of business.
Keith Norman, chief marketing officer with California-based Lyten, told The Epoch Times that globalization was not entirely a bad strategy and still “made sense” for some of the most profitable companies in the United States and Europe, like Apple and Nvidia.
He said the formula of outsourcing manufacturing to China and other low-cost countries was “generating enormous economic benefit” for the United States and Europe.
Geopolitical Risk Poses ‘Challenge’
“Where that starts to become a challenge when you move into a period where there’s more geopolitical risk,” Norman said.
Norman said when products—such as chips, batteries, solar panels, and wind turbines—are critical to energy security and national security, that is when the risk starts to ramp up.
The issue was thrown into stark relief on Nov. 5, when Dutch chipmaker Nexperia gave a statement saying that it can no longer guarantee the quality or authenticity of chips made at its Chinese facilities, saying its subsidiaries in China have disregarded management directives.
Lyten, a Silicon Valley startup, said on Aug. 7 that it had entered a binding agreement to acquire bankrupt Scandinavian electric vehicle (EV) battery maker Northvolt’s plants in Sweden and Germany—to add to a site in Poland they had already acquired—to expand its lithium-sulfur battery technology into Europe.
“We are building a battery which is a lighter weight than lithium-ion, that is also sourced with industrial by-product from the U.S. and Europe, and so we’re able to entirely eliminate supply chain through China, and at the same time actually deliver better performing batteries,” Norman said.
On April 26, 2021, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and Rep. David McKinley (R-W.Va.) led a bipartisan group of lawmakers who called on the Biden administration to establish a “rare-earth metallurgical cooperative” to reduce the nation’s reliance on Beijing for the specialized minerals used to build electronics and military weapons.
Little was done until the advent of the second Trump administration.
On April 4, the Chinese communist regime imposed export controls on certain rare earth elements, which Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said were “within weeks” of closing down U.S. plants manufacturing everything from cars to fighter jets.
On Oct. 9, 2025, Beijing expanded these export controls.
Trump met Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Oct. 30, and agreed to drop some tariffs in exchange for Beijing resuming exports of rare earths, such as holmium, erbium, thulium, europium, and ytterbium.
He also said he would visit China in April 2026.
A few days later, on Nov. 5, the Chinese navy unveiled its latest aircraft carrier, the Fujian, as it looks to flex its military muscles in the Pacific.
In a Nov. 2 interview on CBS’s “60 Minutes,” Trump said the United States would end its dependence on China for rare-earth minerals within 18 months under an “emergency program” to build domestic and allied supply chains, describing the initiative as a key national security priority following Beijing’s recent export restrictions.
On Oct. 21, when Northrop Grumman reported its earnings for the third quarter of 2025, its CEO, Kathy Warden, commented on the supply chain issue.
“Fortunately, our team has the two foundries in the United States where we design, produce, and package microelectronics. So our dependency there on rare earths has been mitigated by looking through our supply chain and getting well ahead of our sources of supply to ensure that we can produce those electronics,” Warden said.
Bypass Big Tech Censors
“We are very pleased that the U.S. government is actively working to set up additional sources of supply, including in the U.S., and working partnerships with our allies for them to also invest in these capabilities in their country,” Warden said.
Risk mitigation is going to be a priority for the United States going forward, Aberle said.
China expert Cheryl Yu testified before the Wisconsin Legislature on Oct. 21, warning that several Chinese-owned industrial and agricultural properties in Wisconsin have ties to the United Front Work Department, a branch of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
The Epoch Times reached out, through the Department of War, to get a response from John Shultz, of the Office of the Assistant Secretary for War for Industrial Base Policy, regarding MCEIP. It has not received a response.
Bypass Big Tech Censors
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
