Political theories are debatable. As much as America First patriots would love to think we’re unambiguously right on everything, there are many who hear the arguments from the other end of the spectrum and believe they are right and we are wrong.
When it comes to federal overreach, there is only one correct answer: We fight it. We know it’s the correct answer because depending on which party is running the White House and Congress at any given moment, one half of the country or the other is calling on states to fight back against their policies. Our Constitution was written to protect against federal overreach, but over the last quarter millennium since then we’ve seen Washington DC take more and more power.
Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake delivered a pitch-perfect answer. One doesn’t have to be a Republican to acknowledge that fighting DC overreach is one of the most important actions any governor can take. Whether it’s Gavin Newsom fighting the Trump administration on behalf of illegal aliens or Don DeSantis fighting the Biden-Harris regime to stop the flow of illegal aliens, the rights of the states and individual American citizens must be protected.
Lake made it clear in two-and-a-half minutes how that can and should be done by governors.
Watch:
Question: “How are you as governor going to protect Arizona citizens from the federal unelected bureaucratic overreach? Specifically, will you work with sheriffs and the Arizona Attorney General to protect our rights?”
Lake: “Absolutely. I mean, how many of you… well, every single one of us in here had to deal with that during Covid. We had Anthony Fauci and the CDC controlling our lives.
“There’s something that happened during this last Supreme Court term, and it was really amazing and I don’t think people paid attention to it. It was called, I believe, EPA versus West Virginia. Did you follow that? That just cracked open the door for us to go after and push back against this federal overreach by bureaucrats who are not elected.
“And this case was interesting. It was basically the EPA trying to shut down coal mines in West Virginia, and the Supreme Court ruled, ‘Listen, you’re pushing these regulations that bureaucrats made up. There’s no law behind that. Our elected officials didn’t write those laws. Those are regulations that bureaucrats in Washington, DC came up with, and they’re trying to destroy an industry in West Virginia.’
“And so I was really pleased with that. I took notice and I went, ‘Okay, that’s how we’re gonna go after the overreach of the federal government,’ whether it be the ATF, the FBI, the DOJ, the CIA, , you name it, the EPA, the Department of Education.
“Yeah. We’re really tired of the federal government acting like they run the show. We run the show, We the People run the show and we’re gonna push back.
“And since we touched on water a little bit, the. Department of Land Management — I call it Land Mismanagement — you know, I didn’t mention this, but our forests, and we all know this, are overgrown. It’s really frightening. You know, of course it’s beautiful to see all the ponderosa pines, but they take up a lot of our groundwater and the federal government refuses to thin those forests.
“And every year during fire season, it’s scary if you live near these forests because you think at any moment a fire could start and burn your home down, burn a small town down, a community down. And so we need to push back on the federal government. If they’re not gonna thin those forests, they need to give us the ability to do so and we will push back because it’s a water issue and it’s a safety issue and I’m ready to take the fight to Washington, DC.”
This is it, folks. THIS is the correct answer that every governor should give when asked about federal overreach. This is why Arizonans need to deny long-time politician Katie Hobbs and vote for someone who will fight for their rights.
Source: Kari Lake
.@KariLake: "We're really tired of the Federal Government acting like they run the show. We run the show. We the People run the show. And we're going to push back with me." pic.twitter.com/LHGSMsGtUm
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) October 4, 2022
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
