(The Economic Collapse Blog)—Why does the U.S. just continue to get pummeled by historic storm after historic storm? We keep being told that what we are witnessing is “normal”, but there is definitely nothing “normal” about any of this. A couple of decades ago, it was extremely rare for the U.S. to be hit by a “billion dollar disaster”, but over the past couple of years we have been averaging a “billion dollar disaster” about every two weeks. The American people deserve the truth, because people are dying.
Most of the people that just died in Texas were caught totally by surprise by the floods.
The National Weather Service had warned that rain was coming, but a top Texas official is admitting that the actual amount of rain that ultimately fell “was never in any of those forecasts”…
“The original forecast that we received Wednesday from the National Weather Service predicted 3-6 inches of rain in the Concho Valley and 4-8 inches in the Hill Country,” said Texas Emergency Management Chief W. Nim Kidd at a press conference Friday. “The amount of rain that fell at this specific location was never in any of those forecasts.”
Sudden thunderstorms dumped more than 10 inches of rain on the area, causing heavy flooding from the Guadalupe River.
Dalton Rice, the city manager for Kerrville, Texas—who also spoke at the press conference—said that the catastrophic flash flooding happened because the skies “dumped more rain than what was forecasted” on two of the river’s forks.
At one point, 7 inches of rain fell in a three hour period.
As USA Today has noted, 7 inches of rain is “nearly 122 million gallons of water per square mile”…
On July 4, rain was falling at 3-4 inches per hour, with some locations recording a deluge of up to 7 inches of rain in just three hours, the National Weather Service said. Seven inches of rain is nearly 122 million gallons of water per square mile. Over 7 square miles that’s enough water to fill the AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys.
I have a hard time even imagining that much water.
As water relentlessly poured from the sky, the Guadalupe River “rose from about one foot to more than 36 feet” in just 3 hours…
Reports from the U.S. Geological Survey show the waters of the Guadalupe rose from about one foot to more than 36 feet between 2 a.m. and 5 a.m. Friday morning. The wall of water sharply increased at 5:15 a.m. when it spiked from 1.82 feet to 36 feet an hour and a half later.
In my entire lifetime, I have never seen anything like this.
In the middle of the night, rushing waters suddenly arrived without any warning, and many victims never even had a chance.
According to the Daily Mail, the final death toll is expected to be above 100…
Texas’s Division of Emergency Management predicted the number of dead as a result of catastrophic flooding in Kerrville on July 4 would top 100, Daily Mail can exclusively reveal.
In an email sent out Saturday, the state disaster office told partners the number of dead would surpass 100, two different sources confirmed to Daily Mail.
The estimate of the dead is vastly different than the message state officials are projecting publicly, insisting that they are still searching for people who are alive, and refusing to say rescue efforts have shifted to recovery of remains.
In the midst of this great tragedy, there were heroes that were willing to give everything in order to save others.
27-year-old Julian Ryan and his family were sleeping when the floodwaters hit their trailer.
As the waters rose to waist height, Ryan’s two young children were put on a mattress that was floating, but the waters just continued to rise.
That was when Julian decided that the only way that he could save his family would be to break the window…
With no escape route, Julian looked to the only option: the window.
He punched through the glass, but the broken edges almost cut his arm clean off, Christinia told KHOU, and severed an artery.
As blood poured from Julian’s limb, the other two adults tried calling 911 – but nobody came.
Julian knew that he wasn’t going to make it, and with his dying words he expressed his love for his family.
Thankfully, Julian’s sacrifice was not in vain because his family was able to miraculously escape…
Julian was losing consciousness from blood loss and the water had risen up to their chins.
With his dying words, Julian told his family: “I’m sorry, I’m not going to make it. I love y’all.”
Christinia said the trailer was eventually broken in half by the force of the currents – allowing the rest of the family to escape.
70-year-old Richard Eastland is another hero that gave his life during this great tragedy.
His family has been running Camp Mystic since 1974, and he did all that he could to save campers from the floodwaters…
The director of Camp Mystic was killed while trying to save girls from the horrific flooding that swept through the Texas summer camp.
Richard ‘Dick’ Eastland, 70, died while trying to rescue campers from the biblical rushing waters that struck the state on July 4.
At least 11 girls and one counselor are missing from Camp Mystic in Hunt, Texas, and five of their fellow campers have died after the rushing waters destroyed the all-girls private Christian summer camp.
Richard Eastland will be remembered as a hero.
According to one former camper, it wasn’t a surprise “that his last act of kindness and sacrifice was working to save the lives of campers”…
The Eastlands have owned and operated Camp Mystic since 1974, and many viewed him as a father figure at the camp.
‘It doesn’t surprise me at all that his last act of kindness and sacrifice was working to save the lives of campers,’ The Kerrville Daily Times guest columnist Paige Sumner said in a tribute to Eastland.
‘Dick was the father figure to all of us while we were away from home at Camp Mystic for six weeks.
‘He was the father of four amazing boys, but he had hundreds of girls each term who looked up to him like a dad. I would never have taken a fishing class if it wasn’t taught by my new friend Dick.’
There is no greater love than laying down your life for others.
But could this great tragedy have been avoided in the first place?
Many on social media are pointing out that “rain enhancement projects” have recently been conducted in Texas. Needless to say, we need answers from those that were involved in those projects.
Humanity should never mess with the weather.
Hopefully some new laws will get passed as a result of everything that we just witnessed.
Unfortunately, the disasters aren’t going to stop any time soon.
In fact, a tropical storm could soon bring “severe weather” to Washington D.C., New York City and Boston…
With deadly Texas flooding dominating headlines this weekend, we now shift focus to Tropical Storm Chantal, which made landfall near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, early Sunday. This marks the first tropical storm to make landfall in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season—and the earliest to do so since 2022.
Chantal is the third tropical storm of this year’s hurricane season, following Andrea and Barry, both of which formed in June. The new storm appeared on our radar Friday, with spaghetti models showing a potential path up the U.S. East Coast, through parts of the Mid-Atlantic, and possibly over southern New Jersey and New York City.
Updated spaghetti models posted by meteorologist Ben Noll on X show a strong level of confidence in Chantal’s track into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, where severe weather could be seen next from D.C. to New York and Boston.
We just keep getting hit by one major disaster after another.
You would think that most of the population would have figured out that something has gone terribly wrong after everything that we have been through over the past few years.
What we are experiencing is not even close to “normal”, and it is time to start demanding some answers.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
