Donald Trump just survived his third assassination attempt (fourth if you count Mar-A-Lago), this time at the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner on Saturday night, where a heavily armed gunman tried to breach the room where the president and his cabinet were. A Secret Service agent took a round, saved by his vest, and Trump reportedly “fought like hell” to keep the dinner going before agents cleared the room. The president then walked into the briefing room with the same composure he showed in Butler, Pennsylvania, told reporters it’s a dangerous job, and got back to work.
One might think this would be the moment for the conservative movement to rally. One would be wrong. Some of the loudest voices on the right, the same ones who built their followings off Trump’s coattails, are busy explaining why the man dodging bullets is actually the problem.
Howard Kurtz of Fox News catalogs the troubles in a piece outlining how Trump “survives” the latest barrage of crises. The list is real enough — an unpopular Iran campaign, the Strait of Hormuz blockade, gas prices climbing, a 33 percent approval rating in one AP poll, a Fox News survey showing voters trusting Democrats over Republicans on the economy for the first time in fifteen years, and a redistricting fight that may go sideways. Yet what stands out is not the catalog of problems. It is the chorus of former allies who have decided that now, at the lowest moment of Trump’s second term, is the right time to declare the whole project a mistake.
The Cost of Doing What He Said He’d Do
Look at what is actually generating the heartburn. Trump moved on Iran. Whether one agrees with that decision or not, he made it because the regime in Tehran has spent decades funding terror, chanting death to America, and racing toward a nuclear weapon. The ceasefire fell apart when Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, a move Trump answered by closing it back. That is not erratic. That is a president refusing to let a state sponsor of terrorism dictate the terms of global commerce.
The Never Trumpers and the disillusioned podcasters insist this proves he is reckless. Maureen Dowd of The New York Times writes that Trump “looks desperate to run for the hills.” Andrew Sullivan calls him “completely out of his depth.” These are the same voices who have spent a decade telling conservatives that Trump was unfit. They are not new converts to wisdom. They are old critics finding a new audience among Republicans willing to listen because the headlines are bad.
What Fair-Weather Friends Always Do
Scripture has a phrase for the people who showed up when the parades were rolling and the polls were good but who vanished the moment the bullets started flying. “A friend loveth at all times, and a brother is born for adversity.”
Read that twice. A friend loves at all times. A brother is born for adversity. The translation does not say a friend loves when the approval rating is above fifty. It does not say a brother shows up when the Iran campaign polls well. The whole point of the verse is that anyone can cheer when things are easy. The character of a man is revealed by who stands with him when the room clears out.
Some on the right embraced Trump because he promised no new foreign wars. That was a real promise and it deserves accountability. But there is a meaningful difference between holding a president accountable for a policy and abandoning him the moment a hard call gets made. A serious movement wrestles with hard calls. A fair-weather coalition runs for the exits and tells the cameras it never really believed in the first place.
The Hard Calls Are the Whole Job
Easy presidencies do not exist. The men in that office face decisions that no campaign rally can prepare them for. Trump was elected to confront the cartels at the southern border, to break the regulatory state, to stop the bleeding on inflation, and to keep America from being pushed around by hostile powers. Every one of those tasks involves choices that will alienate someone.
Move on the cartels and the open-borders left howls. Cut the bureaucracy and the donor-class right complains about disruption. Confront Iran and the isolationists scream. Defend Israel and the new dissident influencers post videos accusing him of selling out. There is no version of this presidency that keeps everyone happy because the country’s problems are not the kind that can be solved by triangulation.
Yet look at what is actually happening while the commentariat composes its eulogies. The stock market is at record highs even with the Iran ceasefire in tatters. Trump is signing executive orders that move the agenda forward, including a reclassification of marijuana and an expansion of research into psychedelic therapies for veterans. He is taking calls from reporters at all hours. He is building. He is governing. He is, as Kurtz acknowledges, still the man who dominates the news cycle from morning to midnight.
The Democrats Are Not the Alternative
Here is what the apologetic former supporters seem to miss. The choice is not between Trump and some purer conservative president waiting in the wings. The choice on the ground, right now, is between Trump and a Democrat Party that openly rooted against American service members during the Iran campaign, that talks about impeaching the president on day one of a new House majority, and that has spent the last decade telling Christians their values are bigoted and telling parents their children belong to the state.
Hakeem Jeffries is not going to save the republic. The same media that spent years lying about Russia collusion, lying about Hunter Biden’s laptop, and lying about the cognitive state of the previous occupant of the Oval Office is not suddenly a reliable narrator now that the target is back to being Trump.
What History Says
Trump has been written off after the “Access Hollywood” tape, after January 6, after two impeachments, after four criminal cases, and after previous attempts on his life. Each time, the obituaries were premature. The reason is simple. The American people, when given a clear choice, have repeatedly preferred his fight to his opponents’ contempt.
That does not guarantee a rebound. The midterms are six months away and politics is unpredictable. But anyone declaring this presidency finished is making the same bet that has lost every time it has been placed since 2015.
The Faithful Remain
Conservatives who supported Trump because they believed in a borders-secure, baby-protected, faith-honored, energy-dominant America have no reason to walk away because a few influencers found lucrative audiences in the Never-Trump, anti-Semitic, pro-Islam camps. The agenda has not changed. The threats have not changed. The man taking the bullets, literally, on behalf of that agenda has not changed.
The fair-weather voices will be back when the polls turn. They always are. The question for the rest of the movement is whether to be the kind of friend Scripture describes, the kind that loves at all times and is born for adversity, or the kind that needs a good news cycle before it can find its courage.
Saturday night, a man with a rifle tried to end an American presidency. The Secret Service did its job, an agent took a round so the president would not, and Trump walked back to the podium. That is the man some on the right are now too embarrassed to defend. History will not be kind to that calculation.
Bypass Big Tech Censors
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