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The “Electric Vehicle Revolution” Is DOA

Some saw it coming from miles away. Others had to be stuck on the side of the road before realizing what happened.

by JD Rucker
December 23, 2023
in Opinions
Reading Time: 4 mins read

In the early days of the push for electric vehicles to replace gas-powered vehicles, they were novelties used for virtue signaling. As the push from government leftists ramped up quickly, millions worldwide jumped onboard willingly or reluctantly as it appeared that an EV future was inevitable.

Now that the market has matured, challenges are evident. Electric vehicles are unreliable. They are expensive to repair. The infrastructure to power them is insufficient today even though they only make up a tiny percentage of what’s on the road. Behind all of these roadblocks is an underlying reality: Far fewer people are joining the climate change cult than the powers-that-be had hoped.

The ONLY faith-driven, patriotic news curator that opposes the left AND the “woke right.”

Force-feeding us through regulations, incentives, and massive ESG bullying campaigns have failed miserably. Now, the chickens are coming home to roost for a fearmongering industry that couldn’t deliver on any of their promises. Is the “Electric Vehicle Revolution” dying?

No. It was dead before it got here.

Audi is joining U.S. automakers in slashing production of EVs. On the retail side, Ford dealers are backing away from even offering EVs. Reports of coming challenges for EV drivers are making the Christmas news cycle. This isn’t the future that climate change cultists were promised and it’s impacting faith in the movement.

Below is an article highlighting the worst indicator of them all: Lack of used EV enthusiasm. Vehicles with staying power enjoy popularity through all stages of existence. They sell well when they’re bought or leased new. They then sell well again as program vehicles, certified pre-owned, or plain old used cars. Some, particular trucks, enjoy extended usefulness as owners sink money and effort into keeping them on the roads for decades. With EVs, none of those scenarios are panning out. The results have been predictable as EV graveyards have started popping up across the western world. Here is the article generated from corporate media reports by Discern Reporter…

Demand for Used Electric Vehicles Is Even Lower Than for New

The transition away from traditional combustion engine vehicles is encountering a new challenge: reluctance among buyers to purchase used electric vehicles (EVs), thereby undermining the market for both new and pre-owned EVs.

In the $1.2 trillion secondhand market, prices for battery-powered cars are declining more rapidly than their combustion-engine counterparts. Several factors contribute to this trend, including the absence of subsidies, a wait-and-see approach for better technology, and ongoing deficiencies in charging infrastructure. Intense competition, fueled by Tesla Inc. and Chinese models, has triggered a price war, impacting the values of new and used cars alike, thereby jeopardizing profits for companies like Volkswagen AG and Stellantis NV.

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As the majority of new vehicles in Europe are leased, automakers and dealers are grappling with plummeting valuations, leading to increased borrowing costs to recoup losses. This strategy, in turn, is dampening demand in European markets that were at the forefront of the shift away from fossil fuel-powered vehicles. In response to declining resale values, major buyers of new cars, including rental firms such as Sixt SE, are scaling back on EV adoption.

The challenges are expected to escalate next year when many of the 1.2 million EVs sold in Europe in 2021, under three-year leasing contracts, enter the secondhand market. How companies address this issue will be crucial for their financial performance, consumer confidence, and the broader goal of decarbonization, aligning with the European Union’s plan to phase out sales of new fuel-burning cars by 2035.

There is a lack of demand for used EVs, posing a hindrance to the overall cost-of-ownership narrative. Companies can divert EVs to mobility offerings and ride-sharing startups, but limited demand from these businesses remains a challenge. Unwanted combustion cars often end up in Africa, but the poor charging infrastructure in that region restricts the market for EVs. The situation in China, where lucrative subsidies led to abandoned EVs, serves as a cautionary tale.

Early signs of trouble emerged when Tesla aggressively reduced prices earlier this year, initiating a price war that eroded profitability for some and exacerbated losses for others. Secondhand EV prices experienced a significant decline, around one-third, in the year through October, compared to a mere 5% decline in the overall used car market.

In Germany, a key auto market, the slowdown in new EV orders is leading to a surplus of used models, impacting the secondhand market. This trend is particularly pronounced for EVs, with more units remaining on lots for extended periods, categorized as “risk inventory.” Prices need substantial reductions to attract customers to consider EVs, creating challenges for dealers and manufacturers.

Handling secondhand EVs presents a unique challenge as there are no standardized tests to determine the quality of a battery, which constitutes around 30% of an EV’s value. Manufacturers are exploring new battery technologies, such as solid-state batteries, to bring down costs, increase range, and facilitate faster charging.

Geopolitical turmoil has prompted price hikes for long-term storage survival food. Heaven’s Harvest is the exception because their all-American food is sourced locally. Use promo code “Patriot” for a nice discount today!

Despite some EVs performing well in the secondhand market, consumer hesitation remains, and manufacturers are actively working on new technologies to address concerns. The uncertainty surrounding EV technology is expected to drive more customers toward leasing rather than purchasing, accelerating the shift from ownership to usage.

Sound off about this article on my Substack.

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Two Storms, One Harvest

Empty Shelves

Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.

What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.

Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.

This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.

Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.

Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.

The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running

While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.

The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.

Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.

The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.

Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.

The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?

The System Has No Slack Left

The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.

Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.

There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.

The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.

What Joseph Knew

Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.

Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.

Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.

Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.

None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.

Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.

Tags: Climate Change CultElectric VehiclesLedeTop Story

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