- The U.S. manufacturing industry shed 26,000 jobs in November, following a loss of 19,000 jobs in October
- Private employers added 146,000 jobs in November, falling short of analysts’ expectations of 150,000, with goods-producing industries showing only a 6,000-job gain.
- Manufacturing was the weakest sector, and another report highlighted that the industry has been contracting for eight consecutive months.
- The manufacturing sector faces ongoing challenges, including sluggish global growth, high financing costs, and uncertain U.S. policy, which may persist into 2025.
- Despite manufacturing struggles, the U.S. economy is projected to grow at a 3.2 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter, with annual pay growth increasing by 4.8 percent.
(Natural News)—The manufacturing industry of the United States experienced a significant decline in employment in November, shedding 26,000 jobs.
This is according to the latest National Endowment Report from human resources management firm Automatic Data Processing (ADP), noting that the manufacturing industry continues to struggle under the administration of outgoing President Joe Biden, following a loss of 19,000 jobs in October.
The report, released on Dec. 4, revealed that private employers across the country added a total of 146,000 jobs in November, falling short of analysts’ expectations of 150,000 new positions. The weakness in goods-producing industries was evident, with a net gain of only 6,000 jobs in this category.
Nela Richardson, ADP chief economist, noted that while overall growth for the month was “healthy,” industry performance was mixed. “Manufacturing was the weakest we’ve seen since spring. Financial services and leisure and hospitality were also soft,” she stated.
The construction sector added 30,000 jobs in November, while the mining and natural resources industry saw a modest increase of 2,000 jobs. However, the manufacturing sector’s job losses extended the contraction that has been ongoing for months.
The Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) latest manufacturing activity report further underscored the sector’s challenges. In November, the manufacturing sector contracted for the eighth consecutive month and the twenty-fourth time in the last 25 months.
Timothy Fiore, chair of the ISM’s manufacturing business committee, reported that 66 percent of manufacturing GDP contracted in November, up from 63 percent in October.
While there were some positive indicators, such as new orders expanding for the first time in eight months and input costs rising at a slower pace, the overall picture remained one of continued weakness, including a reduction in factory employment.
Job openings, new hires in manufacturing dropping since October
The ADP report aligns with data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which showed a decline in both job openings and hires in the manufacturing sector in October. The most recent nonfarm payrolls report from BLS also indicated that manufacturing lost 6,000 jobs in September, with job losses increasing to 46,000 in October.
Economists polled by Reuters predict that the U.S. economy added 200,000 positions last month, following a weak gain of 12,000 jobs in October, the lowest figure since December 2020.
Richard Moody, chief economist at Regions Financial Corporation, highlighted the ongoing challenges facing the manufacturing sector.
“Over the past several months, we’ve noted that the manufacturing sector seemed more or less stuck in a holding pattern, with sluggish global economic growth, still-high financing costs, and an uncertain outlook for U.S. tax, regulatory, and trade policy acting as stiff headwinds,” he wrote in a recent note.
Moody added that despite the election being over, the policy outlook remains uncertain, which will likely keep the manufacturing sector on “very tentative footing into 2025.”
The ongoing slump in manufacturing is a key issue facing the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump, who has proposed plans to revive the sector, including cutting regulations and lowering energy costs for consumers and businesses. (Related: Trump vows to implement new tax incentives that would boost U.S. auto manufacturing industry.)
Despite the challenges in manufacturing, the U.S. economy appears to have retained its momentum from the third quarter. The latest GDP estimate for the fourth quarter projects the economy growing at 3.2 percent in annual terms, up from the 2.8 percent pace of growth in the July–September period, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
The November ADP National Employment Report also provided insights into annual pay growth, which increased by 4.8 percent year-over-year. The report, produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, uses anonymized payroll data from more than 25 million U.S. employees to offer a detailed and high-frequency view of the private-sector labor market. The report’s pay measure uniquely captures the earnings of a cohort of almost 10 million employees over a 12-month period.
In summary, the U.S. labor market showed mixed performance in November, with the manufacturing sector continuing to struggle while the services sector demonstrated resilience. The data highlights the ongoing challenges facing the manufacturing industry, which remains under pressure from global economic uncertainty and policy headwinds.
Watch this clip featuring Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID) discussing how the Republicans can help strengthen the economy and grow jobs.
This video is from the NewsClips channel on Brighteon.com.
More related stories:
- Trump’s energy plan: A path to American prosperity and security.
- TRADE WAR: China bans export of raw materials to U.S. for high-tech and military applications.
- REPORT: Tariffs during Trump’s first term helped U.S. decouple from China.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
